Sports & models

Live DFS lines plus a sportsbook reference with the vig removed. Verified markets grade against final official statistics. New pitch and workload markets are provisional research inventory, and unverified settlement stays pending.

Live lines from four DFS books, priced on player rates measured from recent box scores, graded nightly. Injury statuses default to healthy until a licensed feed is connected, and affected projections are flagged.

The engine is built and has passed two audits. Live player rates and DFS lines connect when the season opens in late October.

Real DFS lines priced against measured NFL data: player usage and efficiency from nflverse (community play by play and weekly stats, CC BY 4.0, used with attribution), team profiles anchored to the measured league, and kickoff weather from the National Weather Service. Injury designations enter from the roster file and, when the licensed feed is configured, from RotoWire. The board states which. No sportsbook posts two sided prices on these markets, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more. Graded weekly from official box scores.

Real DFS lines priced against measured college data: player usage and efficiency from last season's play, opponent adjusted team ratings, returning production, and transfer moves. Rosters are current, player availability has no live feed yet, and every player builds healthy, stated on the board. No sportsbook posts these markets, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more. Graded volume is still thin (1,371 settled rows) and the probabilities run overconfident at the extremes, so treat them as directional until the calibration curve tightens.

The engine is built and audited, and simulates college structure directly: five fouls, the bonus free throw ramp, end game fouling, two foul benching, and rosters heavy with transfers. Live stats and lines connect with the November season, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more.

Live DFS lines priced on serve and return rates measured from each player's recent matches, split by surface. No sportsbook posts tennis player props, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more.

The engine is built, verified by harness, and adversarially audited, with PGA cut events and LIV 54 hole shotgun events as separate formats. DFS golf lines are confirmed available. The missing piece is a licensed strokes gained data feed, not the calendar.

Real DFS lines priced against measured fighter statistics. Full cards build on fight days, and every published prop grades against final fight statistics the morning after. No sportsbook posts these markets in usable form across books, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more.

Real DFS lines priced against measured team and player inputs: posted lineups with a status of confirmed or projected, match statistics per player, and substitution timing from recent matches. An unposted lineup caps every grade for that match. No sportsbook posts soccer player props in usable form across books, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more.

Real DFS lines priced against measured pro match data: league pace, team styles, rosters, and role shares, using only games played before each series. Projections are made before champion select, so distributions widen to carry that uncertainty. No sportsbook posts these markets, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more.

Real DFS lines priced against measured match data: kill and headshot shares per player, team strength, and map pools from recent finished maps. Before the map veto, projections mix the likely map pool and say so, and a stand in or unconfirmed roster caps the grade. No sportsbook posts these markets, so edges read model versus line, and every grade is capped at B+ until the backtest earns more.